China May Be Planning Big Boost For Wind Power, As Greenhouse Gases Build

Chinese government officials may have produced a startling new goal for wind power in the giant country -- 100,000 megawatts by 2020. That represents a big step beyond more near-term figures the country floated just earlier this year (see Climate Law Update story here).

According to a story in the Shanghai Daily (see article here), an official with the Chinese Wind Energy Association (Chinese language site) said that the country's top economic planning agency, the National Development and Reform Commission recently discussed increasing wind power capacity to the 100,000-megawatt level. Previously, the country's leaders had announced a goal of installing 10,000 megawatts by 2010, so the new objective represents a 10-fold increase over the succeeding decade.

The country had set an objective of supplying 10 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2010, which would include wind, hydropower, bio-energy and solar.  According to the Shanghai Daily story it now wants to achieve 15 percent of its power consumption from renewable sources by 2020.  

Environmental Capital, the Wall Street Journal's online site that monitors such developments, sees new business opportunities in the Chinese move (see full posting here):

"Despite the recent tax reform meant to limit wind-turbine imports, China’s more ambitious goals could also open the doors for more joint ventures and local business for wind turbine makers like Vestas of Denmark, Suzlon of India, and Gamesa of Spain—all of whom have made China a key part of their global growth plans. And of course, General Electric hopes to make its energy business one of the group’s driving forces."

Such developments may come none too soon to help the planet weather the ever-increasing amount of heat-trapping gases in its atmosphere. The Chinese plans come to light shortly after a U.S. government agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, reported that carbon dioxide continued a steady rise in its concentration in the atmosphere in 2007. 

On April 23, the agency's press statement (see text here) noted:

"Last year alone global levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the primary driver of global climate change, increased by 0.6 percent, or 19 billion tons. Additionally methane rose by 27 million tons after nearly a decade with little or no increase. NOAA scientists released these and other preliminary findings today as part of an annual update to the agency’s greenhouse gas index (see text here), which tracks data from 60 sites around the world."

According to NOAA, the rate of increase in carbon dioxide concentrations accelerated over recent decades along with fossil fuel emissions. The recent data showed about a 2.4 part per million increase. Since 2000, annual increases of two parts per million or  more have been common, compared with 1.5 ppm per year in the 1980s and less than one ppm per year during the 1960s.

The data follows by a few weeks the release of a report prepared by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency that showed some domestic declines in greenhouse gas emissions, including carbon dioxide, between 2005 and 2006 (see Climate Law Update story here; access report here). That report also showed an increase in methane releases to the atmosphere. 

Separately, NOAA recently announced it would soon install the final nine of 114 stations as part of a new  high-tech climate monitoring network. The stations track national average changes in temperature and precipitation trends. The U.S. Climate Reference Network (CRN) is on schedule to activate these final stations by the end of the summer, the agency said (see press statement here). 

(Photo: Wind farm in China, Wikipedia)

World Demand for Renewables May Test Needed Components

Recent reports originating in Europe and Asia suggest the worldwide extent of the booming interest in renewable energy. One consequence, according to experts and observers, could be new pressure on critical supplies needed by the industry.

China, according to that country’s state news service, Xinhua, has decided to boost its consumption of renewable energy, including wind, hydropower, bio-energy and solar, to about 10 percent of the country’s total by 2010. That, according to Xhinua, would would nearly double the country's renewable energy consumption compared to 2005. China's National Development and Reform Commission, the nation's top economic planning agency, had several reasons for boosting renewables, including environmental concerns, according to Xinhua:

“Given the dearth of petroleum and natural gas resources and the large share of coal in China’s energy production, it is difficult for the nation to sustain its development and protect the environment by relying simply on fossil fuels, the NDRC said.”

One of China’s goals is to have about 10,000 megawatts of wind power projects installed by 2010, the report said. The country at the end of 2007 had about 6,000 MW, according to a recent estimate from the Global Wind Energy Council, an international industry trade association. According to Global Wind, the Chinese 2007 capacity represented a better than 150 percent increase over just the previous year and it put China in the fifth spot in the world, behind Germany, the United States, Spain and India.

Wind is rapidly taking off in many countries, according to other estimates, including a worldwide assessment produced by the Renewable Energy Network for the 21st Century (REN21) and previously cited by Climate Law Update.  That document estimated wind power capacity increased by 28 percent worldwide in 2007, more than any other renewable technology.

At any rate, there were some who noted the additional demand the rapid development of the technology could put on supplies of vital components. For instance, Environmental Capital, an online news service of the Wall Street Journal, noted that China relies on imports for vital wind turbine parts, including ball bearings. That means country’s appetite for wind “will just add pressure to already stretched global supply chains, likely increasing turbine prices and thus capital costs for new wind farms everywhere.”

Another bit of evidence for the worldwide ripple effect that renewable energy development could exert came from Clean Edge Inc., a West Coast research company. Clean Edge, citing another research firm, New Energy Finance, reported comments from a high-ranking European Union official that the EU might have to import biofuels from elsewhere. The EU has a target of 10 percent biofuels in all of its transportation fuels by 2020, according to the report.

“If we cannot produce what we need using first and second-generation biofuels we will have to import more biofuels from abroad,” Mariann Fischer Boel, EU commissioner for agriculture and rural development, said at a conference in Brussels, according to the report, which can be viewed here.

(Photo of wind power plants in Xinjiang, China, via Wikipedia)