In Other News (May 8)

Senate Passes Extensions for Renewable Incentives; House Future Uncertain

The U.S. Senate Thursday moved forward with its version of an extension of tax credits for renewable energy. But it did so without identifying how to pay for the estimated $6 billion in incentives for wind, solar and other projects.

Introduced by Sens. Maria Cantwell, D-Washington, and John Ensign, R-Nevada (pictured), only a week ago (see Climate Law Update story), the Clean Energy Tax Stimulus Act (see text here) was grafted as an amendment onto a housing bill before the Senate. Lawmakers adopted the energy amendment on an 88-8 voted and passed the entire bill 84-12.

In many ways, the Senate bill is roughly similar to a measure the House passed earlier in the year extending incentives known as the investment tax credit and the production tax credit. The renewable industry has been pushing hard for Congress to adopt some kind of legislation extending credits which expire at the end of the year.

Both bills provide short-term extensions of credits for producing electricity from renewable sources and for a longer period, until 2016, for business investment tax credits for solar and fuel cell projects. Residential solar and energy efficiency projects would also benefit under the Senate bill.

But the major difference in the Senate legislation lies in the fact that bill avoided the House approach of funding the incentives through reducing tax breaks for the oil industry. Instead, the Senate bill contains no identified funding mechanism. That could give the bill a difficult road in the House.

However, Ciaran Clayton, a spokeswoman for Cantwell, told Climate Law Update that the senators felt it was more important to move ahead with the legislation quickly. She said efforts were continuing with the Bush administration and lawmakers in the House to find ways to pay for it.

“If companies don’t have some assurance that these incentives are going to be extended they are going to be dropping projects in the next quarter or two,” Clayton said.  

Ensign, in a written statement (see full text), stressed the perceived urgency of the matter: "We only have a small window of time to provide the certainty needed to continue investing in, producing and developing renewable energy.”

In her own statement, Cantwell said the legislation could provide up to $500 in tax savings for consumers who install energy efficient products in their residences and support the deployment of enough solar energy in the next few years to power more than a million homes (see full text). She also touted the economic benefits of the credits, saying they not only provide some certainty to the renewable energy industry but also create “high-paying, long-term jobs to help Americans get through these tough economic times.”

The Senate action also drew praise from environmentalists. A Sierra Club official, Melinda Pierce, issued a statement (see full text) saying the vote “recognizes the urgency of the situation.” She warned that failure to extend the incentives immediately would “deal a crippling blow to the rapidly growing clean energy economy.”

(Photo of Sen. John Ensign courtesy of his office)

Ethanol Takes a Media Hit, Industry Punches Back; Algae, Wind, Solar Soar

By any measure, it’s been a tough few weeks in the spotlight for biofuels such as corn-based ethanol and other alternative sources for transportation energy, including hydrogen.

A Time Magazine cover story not-so-subtly titled: “The Clean Energy Scam,” set the tone for the criticism. But it was met by a spirited rejoinder from the biofuels industry, which sees itself as helping to lead the way toward sustainability.  

The scrutiny focused on biofuels didn't stop with the magazine. 

Recently, reports have emerged that American biofuel subsidies have, in the characterization of the Wall Street Journal’s Environmental Capital, been “boomeranging” across the Atlantic (see story here). Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Times reported a California biofuels manufacturer was “short on cash and suffering from higher corn and plant construction costs” which threaten the company. The paper also noted a number of other plants that have been put on hold across the country, citing narrowing margins between the cost of production and the selling price of ethanol (see story at newspaper's Web site here).

Then, late last week, reports began emerging that corn had hit a record $6 a bushel, prompting the food industry to pin the blame rising prices squarely on government encouragement of ethanol production. The Grocery Manufacturers Association said the "ripple effects" are being "felt throughout the economy" (see statement here).  

On the hydrogen front, the San Jose Mercury News tweaked California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who four years ago proclaimed the creation of a “hydrogen highway” that would allow motorists to fill up fuel cell cars. So far, however, the newspaper reported (see story here), “not a single hydrogen fueling station has been built under the program.” The article cited a number of possible reasons, from economics to politics, for the failure. The paper also reported that Mary Nichols, the chairwoman of the California Air Resources Board, believes up to 100 stations will be built by 2015, five years later than expected.

The Time article contained the most scathing critique of a fuel that had been touted as a major factor in the effort to slow climate change:

"But several new studies show the biofuel boom is doing exactly the opposite of what its proponents intended: it's dramatically accelerating global warming, imperiling the planet in the name of saving it. Corn ethanol, always environmentally suspect, turns out to be environmentally disastrous. Even cellulosic ethanol made from switchgrass, which has been promoted by eco-activists and eco-investors as well as by President Bush as the fuel of the future, looks less green than oil-derived gasoline."

The biofuel industry does receive encouragement from the federal government, including last year’s Energy Independence and Security Act that required a five-fold increase in renewable fuels by 2022 (see White House fact sheet and text of legislation). The magazine reported that last year the country produced about 7 billion gallons of ethanol, costing taxpayers $8 billion in subsidies.

Time described a complex domino effect that starts with the demand for the fuels in the United States and elsewhere and ends up promoting the destruction of forests that, ironically, could help soak up the excess carbon dioxide in the atmosphere that contributes to global warming:

"In Brazil, for instance, only a tiny portion of the Amazon is being torn down to grow the sugarcane that fuels most Brazilian cars. More deforestation results from a chain reaction so vast it's subtle: U.S. farmers are selling one-fifth of their corn to ethanol production, so U.S. soybean farmers are switching to corn, so Brazilian soybean farmers are expanding into cattle pastures, so Brazilian cattlemen are displaced to the Amazon. It's the remorseless economics of commodities markets. 'The price of soybeans goes up,' laments Sandro Menezes, a biologist with Conservation International in Brazil, 'and the forest comes down.'"

The article appeared before last week’s report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture that suggested some shifts in the American farming pattern. That document (see text) said that corn planting is actually expected to decline by about 8 percent this year, with other crops, including soybeans, increasing significantly. Among others, a New York Times (see story) account of the report suggested that the changes could hike corn prices and cause difficulties for the “struggling” companies that make ethanol.

Nevertheless, suggestions that the ethanol industry is part of the climate change problem, rather than the solution, drew a sharp response from Matt Hartwig, a spokesman for the Renewable Fuels Association, an industry trade association. Hartwig said biofuels offer society the opportunity to begin moving toward a more sustainable future.

 “How did we get in the situation we find ourselves in today?” Hartwig said in an interview with Climate Law Update. “It wasn’t because of biofuels; it was because of a reckless use of our fossil fuel resources.”

The organization also issued its own written defenses of the industry and responses to the USDA report. The industry association noted that farmers themselves have had to react to rising fossil fuel prices and it attacked the scientific evidence cited by biofuel critics (see public statements herehere and here). 

Hartwig, who blamed much of the recent push-back against biofuels on criticisms coming from the oil, food and livestock industries, said ethanol production has helped strengthen corn prices. But he said that is by no means the only factor at work. He cited such pressures as the global demand for corn for food for people and livestock; the weak dollar that encourages exports and market speculation. And he bristled at the notion of a causal relationship between biofuel production in the United States and deforestation elsewhere.

“An acre of corn used for ethanol production here does not directly result in an acre of rainforest in Brazil being cut down,” Hartwig said. “They’ve been cutting down the rainforest for decades, long before the ethanol industry came into being.”

For instance, the association refuted the asserted connection between ethanol production and foreign impacts, including rainforest destruction. It noted that American corn exports generally have held steady and shipments of distiller's grains, a byproduct used for animal feed, have actually increased. At the same time, without renewable sources such as biofuels, fossil fuel use is destined to increase, the industry statements said.  

The association's Web site demonstrates that the latest brew-up isn't the first.  "Oil and Food Industry Attacks on Ethanol Misleading and Diversionary," proclaims one press release; "Wheat Prices Are High, But Not Because Farmers Planted Less," says another. And talk about subsidies: The association cites a study showing the U.S. government spends as much as $140 billion a year -- on military might to protect the oil shipping channels out of the Middle East. 

A report appearing in a USDA publication earlier this year appeared to lend some support to the biofuels industry position that ethanol production and higher food prices do not necessarily go hand-in-hand, at least for long. It cited a spike in corn prices in the 1990s that led to a "short-lived" impact on some foods. But the article concluded (see full text here): "For the most part, food markets adjusted to the higher corn prices and corn producers increased supply, bringing down price." 

Not all alternative energy sources took a punch from the media. A CNN report glowingly referred to algae as “the ultimate in renewable energy,” and cited several benefits, including its ability to help sequester carbon from power plants (see story).

And stationary power sources continued to gain lots of attention. Schwarzenegger last week, for instance, joined with Southern California Edison in announcing the nation’s largest rooftop solar installation project by a utility company (see Edison press release and Schwarzenegger press release).

In Ohio, Gov. Ted Strickland and legislative leaders unveiled a new $1.57 billion economic stimulus package that includes $150 million to help make the state "a powerhouse of renewable and advanced energy production such as wind, solar and clean coal (see press release here)." The announcement did not include many details of the program in a state that is both a big producer and consumer of coal (see Ohio Coal  Association background information).  

And in Northern California, Pacific Gas & Electric Company announced it had signed a deal for up to 900 megawatts of solar thermal power. The utility signed contracts with BrightSource Energy Inc. for 500 megawatts of electricity from three projects and it took out options for another 400 megawatts (see PG&E statement).

Meanwhile, the American Wind Energy Association released its latest list of who's on top in the industry. It found Texas to be the leading wind energy state, leading in both total installed capacity and in the amount of new projects added in 2007. Other leaders were California, Minnesota, Iowa, Washington, Colorado, Illinois and Oregon. Iowa generated 5.5 percent of its electricity from wind, the highest of any state, according to the findings. The study also found that FPL Energy operated the biggest farms and Vestas had installed the largest turbines in the United States (see press release and complete text of study).    

(Photo of organic corn crop, courtesy USDA Agricultural Research Service)

Costs of Congress' Greenhouse Gas Bill Debated

Legislation in Congress to reduce the country’s greenhouse gas emissions might carry a hefty economic price tag, according to a new analysis released Friday by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. But sponsors of the bill, Sen. Joseph Lieberman, I-Conn., and Sen. John Warner, R-Va., said the report actually demonstrates that the country could accomplish the cuts without sacrificing its prosperity.

Even as the costs of addressing climate change sparked discussion,  there were new signs global warming itself could prove economically destructive. Earlier in the week, another government study suggested potentially dire consequences from unchecked climate change on the nation's Gulf Coast, a vital part of the nation's shipping and petroleum infrastructure.

EPA's forecasts covered a variety of possible impacts. The agency predicted the economy might feel a drag on growth of less than 1 percent by 2030, but that the punch could also be nearly four times as strong. Among the "many uncertainties" it cited were the availability of new technologies and what other countries do regarding climate change.   

The EPA’s report followed by a day another set of estimates – this one prepared by the National Association of Manufacturers and the American Council for Capital Formation – showing the bill dragging on the economy to the tune of millions of fewer jobs and slowing the growth of the gross domestic product (see press release). The Environmental Defense Fund, an environmental group, immediately attacked the business groups’ findings, noting they did not analyze the costs of doing nothing to stop climate change.

Environmentalists were more split on the EPA study, however, with Environmental Defense saying it showed the economy could grow substantially while controlling emissions, and the Natural Resources Defense Council accusing the agency of hiding the key conclusions that demonstrated emissions reductions are affordable. 

Under the Lieberman-Warner bill, known as the Climate Security Act, greenhouse emissions from major economic sectors, including electric power, transportation, manufacturing and natural gas would be capped and gradually reduced. It also would establish a trading program for emissions credits. Backers of the legislation have estimated it would reduce emissions by as much as 66 percent from 2005 levels by 2050. The full Senate is expected to take up the bill, which some environmental groups want to strengthen, in June.

The EPA report also did not discuss the economic benefits of reducing emissions. But the other newly released government analysis suggested those could be substantial. The study prepared by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the U.S. Department of Transportation and made public earlier in the week (see press release here) predicted global warming could pose huge threats to the Gulf Coast region. Those included increased intensity of hurricanes, sea level increases of up to seven feet, endangering roads and other infrastructure and the inundation of a “vast portion” of the coast from Houston, Texas, to Mobile, Alabama. One group said the government appeared to be trying to release the report in a way to minimize public notice. The report noted that about two-thirds of the nation's oil imports pass through the region, and that it is home to the largest concentration of freight-handling ports in the country. It painted the threat to the region's transportation network in stark terms:

"Warming temperatures are likely to increase the costs of transportation construction, maintenance, and operations. More frequent extreme precipitation events may disrupt transportation networks with flooding and visibility problems. Relative sea level rise will make much of the existing infrastructure more prone to frequent or permanent inundation – 27 percent of the major roads, 9 percent of the rail lines, and 72 percent of the ports are built on land at or below 122 cm (4 feet) in elevation. Increased storm intensity may lead to increased service disruption and infrastructure damage: More than half of the area’s major highways (64 percent of Interstates; 57 percent of arterials), almost half of the rail miles, 29 airports, and virtually all of the ports are below 7 m (23 feet) in elevation and subject to flooding and possible damage due to hurricane storm surge."

The EPA's analysis of the climate change bill, which also did not factor in last year’s energy conservation legislation that, among other things, required better gas mileage in cars, some  impacts were potentially more significant than the business groups’ figures showed. The EPA compared a variety of scenarios to a baseline that assumed compliance with existing domestic and international policies but no new ones after 2007.

 According to the EPA, by 2030, the Liberman-Warner bill could reduce the nation’s GDP by as little as less than 1 percent to as much as nearly 4 percent, or $983 billion, compared to what it would be otherwise. The business groups’ report showed a maximum impact of about 2.7 percent by 2030.

On the other hand, the EPA report also predicted there might be no flight of emissions to other countries, known as “leakage,” as energy prices rise. It also predicts that the use of fossil fuels might peak as soon as 2010, followed by a slow decline to 2050. It also shows renewable sources, such as wind and solar, playing a “significant role” if the bill were enacted. Among other highlights of the report, which were also outlined in a letter to Lieberman from Robert J. Meyers, the EPA’s principal deputy assistant administrator, the bill could reduce emissions by up to 56 percent by 2050, a slightly lower estimate than that put forward by the legislation’s sponsors, and it cites the electricity sector as providing the greatest source of emissions reductions. The report also suggested that technology to capture and store carbon could deploy by as early as 2020.

Meyers' letter also promised that the EPA would issue a revised analysis in May or June, showing the effect of the new energy law. 

In a joint statement responding to the EPA’s analysis, the senators focused on findings under certain scenarios studied by the EPA that they said showed the economy would grow almost as fast with the legislation in place as without it, that greenhouse emissions would not be shifted abroad, and that that other benefits would occur, such as driving natural gas out of the electricity sector, to the benefit of manufacturers who use gas.  

“EPA’s detailed analysis indicates that the U.S. can curb global warming without sacrificing economic prosperity,” Lieberman said in the statement. “We will examine the results closely for improvements that they might suggest for the bill.”

Warner said the results also indicated that greenhouse gases could be controlled “in a manner that leaves the economy whole and is not burdensome on consumers.”

(Wikipedia Photo: Hurricane Katrina damage to New Orleans)